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Politics markets
Politics
Politics
45
d
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)
August 31
54%
August 14
34%
5
markets
View event
Politics
166
d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
52%
▼ 5
chance
Yes
56¢
No
53¢
Volume
$5.3M
Politics
14
d
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
30+
31%
40+
12%
6
markets
View event
Politics
45
d
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
August 31
44%
July 31
16%
3
markets
View event
Politics
34
d
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
39%
▼ 5
chance
Yes
42¢
No
67¢
Volume
$599.4K
Politics
166
d
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?
December 31
49%
September 30
14%
3
markets
View event
Politics
167
d
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?
December 31
40%
July 31
2%
2
markets
View event
Politics
29
d
Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 15
22%
July 31
11%
4
markets
View event
Politics
166
d
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
December 31
32%
August 31
18%
3
markets
View event
Politics
Today
Iran military action against a gulf state on...?
July 17
94%
July 15
62%
15
markets
View event
Politics
45
d
US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 31
33%
July 31
12%
4
markets
View event
Politics
13
d
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?
46%
▼ 1
chance
Yes
53¢
No
62¢
Volume
$49.4K
Politics
169
d
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
38%
▲ 1
chance
Yes
41¢
No
68¢
Volume
$423.4K
Politics
167
d
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?
December 31
60%
September 30
36%
2
markets
View event
Politics
14
d
Yevhen Khmara appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Defence by July 31?
15%
▼ 9
chance
Yes
17¢
No
91¢
Volume
$4.3K
Politics
45
d
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
August 31
44%
August 15
35%
4
markets
View event
Politics
13
d
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?
82%
▼ 1
chance
Yes
89¢
No
19¢
Volume
$181.2K
Politics
50
d
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
39%
▼ 1
chance
Yes
42¢
No
67¢
Volume
$162.8K
Politics
13
d
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
12%
chance
Yes
13¢
No
93¢
Volume
$1.6M
Politics
14
d
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31?
United States
28%
France
3%
8
markets
View event
Politics
166
d
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
31%
▲ 7
chance
Yes
33¢
No
76¢
Volume
$4.8M
Politics
45
d
Houthis successfully target shipping by...?
August 31
60%
July 31
45%
3
markets
View event
Politics
166
d
Netanyahu out by...?
December 31
36%
July 31
0%
2
markets
View event
Politics
166
d
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
23%
▲ 6
chance
Yes
25¢
No
84¢
Volume
$43.7M
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